Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000194 0.000217 0.000242 0.000270 0.000302 0.000336 0.000376
2025-01-12 0.000161 0.000192 0.000227 0.000271 0.000322 0.000382 0.000456
2025-01-19 0.000138 0.000174 0.000217 0.000273 0.000343 0.000429 0.000541
2025-01-26 0.000118 0.000156 0.000204 0.000269 0.000356 0.000466 0.000618
2025-02-02 0.000108 0.000150 0.000204 0.000281 0.000388 0.000531 0.000738
2025-02-09 0.000098 0.000140 0.000199 0.000286 0.000410 0.000584 0.000845
2025-02-16 0.000088 0.000132 0.000194 0.000289 0.000430 0.000635 0.000953
2025-02-23 0.000080 0.000123 0.000187 0.000288 0.000444 0.000678 0.001054
2025-03-02 0.000071 0.000114 0.000178 0.000283 0.000450 0.000708 0.001139
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000107 0.000172 0.000281 0.000461 0.000747 0.001239
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000101 0.000167 0.000282 0.000475 0.000791 0.001351
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000096 0.000164 0.000283 0.000490 0.000838 0.001471
2025-03-30 0.000051 0.000090 0.000157 0.000279 0.000498 0.000875 0.001582
2025-04-06 0.000047 0.000085 0.000153 0.000279 0.000512 0.000924 0.001719
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000082 0.000150 0.000281 0.000529 0.000981 0.001876
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000077 0.000144 0.000277 0.000536 0.001019 0.002001
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000076 0.000147 0.000290 0.000574 0.001119 0.002257
2025-05-04 0.000036 0.000074 0.000145 0.000294 0.000597 0.001192 0.002465
2025-05-11 0.000034 0.000071 0.000144 0.000297 0.000618 0.001262 0.002674
2025-05-18 0.000032 0.000068 0.000140 0.000296 0.000630 0.001318 0.002859
2025-05-25 0.000030 0.000064 0.000135 0.000291 0.000633 0.001352 0.003000
2025-06-01 0.000028 0.000061 0.000131 0.000289 0.000643 0.001402 0.003184
2025-06-08 0.000026 0.000059 0.000128 0.000290 0.000657 0.001463 0.003395